Prediction market prop firms.
A new category of funded trading. These firms evaluate you on event contracts, mostly on Polymarket, instead of forex or futures. Pass the challenge, get funded, keep most of the profit. Only one of the six sends your order to a real Polymarket order book.
Firms listed
8
All verified July 2026
Cheapest entry
$35
PolyFunded evaluation
Top split
100%
PolyFunded, first $5K only
Platform
Polymarket
Every firm listed uses Polymarket
Updated September 2026
Ranked: prediction markets firms
Every firm here has been independently tested. Scores reflect rule architecture, payout reliability, cost, platform, and support.
Popular filters
| # | Firm | Score | Since | Features | Platforms | Discount | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8.0/10 Trustpilot — · 0 | No daily loss limitNo consistency rule | PolymarketKalshi | Ask for code | |||
| 2 |  One Step | 7.4/10 Trustpilot 4.3 · 5.1k | 2022 | Fee refunded on 3rd withdrawal9% profit target | Match Trader | ||
| 3 |  One Step | 7.3/10 Trustpilot 4.4 · 662 | 2021 | Fee refunded on passFree trial available | |||
| 4 | 7.0/10 Trustpilot — · 0 | 2026 | EOD drawdown | Polymarket | |||
| 5 | 5.5/10 Trustpilot — · 0 | 2026 | Polymarket | Ask for code | |||
| 6 | 5.5/10 Trustpilot — · 0 | 2026 | Up to 100% splitNo consistency rule | Polymarket | Ask for code | ||
| 7 | 5.4/10 Trustpilot — · 0 | 2026 | 90% split from the first payoutOne free reset per evaluation | Ask for code | |||
| 8 | 4.7/10 Trustpilot — · 0 | 2026 | No consistency rule | Polymarket | Ask for code | ||
| 9 |  One Step | 3.9/10 Trustpilot — · 0 | 80% profit splitFree entry tier available | Ask for code |
What you need to know
What is a prediction market prop firm?
Prediction market prop firms work like traditional funded trading firms, but instead of forex pairs or futures contracts, you trade on event-based markets, binary outcomes on political events, sports, economics, and crypto.
How the challenge works
You purchase a challenge account and trade on Polymarket or similar platforms. Hit the profit target without breaching drawdown rules and you get funded with the firm’s capital, with no personal funds at risk after the entry fee.
What you trade
Event contracts priced 0 to 100 cents representing the probability of a real-world outcome. Markets cover US politics, crypto prices, macro events, and sports. Most firms route exclusively through Polymarket.
How payouts work
Once funded, profits above your high-water mark are split between you and the firm. Splits range from 70/30 to 90/10 in your favour. Payouts are typically processed within 7–14 days via crypto or fiat.
Real books or a simulation
This is the biggest difference between firms here and almost nobody advertises it. Most of these firms simulate your fills against live Polymarket prices, so your order never reaches Polymarket. Funding Predicts is the only one we have found that routes orders to the real order book. Both models are legitimate, but in thin event markets a simulated fill and a real one are not the same thing. Check which you are getting before you pay.
Key rules to watch
Most firms impose a maximum drawdown (typically 10% trailing), a per-market concentration limit (e.g. no single event makes up more than 10% of total profit), and a minimum trading day requirement.
Common questions
Prediction market prop firm FAQ
What is a prediction market prop firm?
A prediction market prop firm funds traders on event contracts, binary markets on politics, sports, economics and crypto priced between 0 and 100 cents, instead of forex or futures. You pass a paid evaluation on the firm’s capital, then split profits, typically 70% to 90% in your favour. Most firms in this category route through Polymarket prices.
Do prediction market prop firms trade on the real Polymarket order book?
Mostly no, and almost nobody advertises this. Most firms simulate your fills against live Polymarket prices, so your order never reaches the real book. Of the firms we track, only one routes orders to the actual order book. Both models are legitimate, but in thin event markets a simulated fill can differ meaningfully from what the real book would have given you.
How much does a prediction market prop firm challenge cost?
This is one of the cheapest categories: entry runs from free promotional tiers to a few hundred dollars for the largest simulated accounts. The category is also the youngest we cover, with most firms launching in 2025 or 2026, so cheap entry comes with short operating histories and thin payout records.
Are prediction market prop firms legit?
The category is too new for a blanket yes. Several firms publish clear rules and operate transparently, while others carry contradictions between their marketing and their terms, unpublished jurisdictions, or paid tiers that were advertised before going live — issues we flag with cautions on this page. Treat any firm here as a small first purchase until it builds a payout record.
How do payouts work at prediction market prop firms?
Once funded, profits above your high-water mark are split between you and the firm, with splits from 70/30 to 90/10. Payouts typically process within 7 to 14 days via crypto or fiat. Check each firm’s minimum payout and any qualifying conditions, and note that at least one firm in this category advertises a payout cadence its own terms contradict.
How do I get a funded prediction market account?
You pay for an evaluation, hit the firm’s profit target inside its drawdown rules, and it funds a simulated account you trade event contracts with, splitting profits 70% to 90% in your favour. Most firms price your fills against live Polymarket or Kalshi markets rather than routing orders to the real book, so check which model a firm uses before you pay.
Compare two firms side by side
Put any two firms in this category next to each other on rules, drawdown, splits, payouts and our full scoring breakdown.
Open the comparison toolPrediction market funding is young enough that the terminology is still settling. The glossary of prop trading terms defines the rules these firms use today.
Looking for a firm that is not in this table? The site index lists every review, comparison, discount code, calculator and guide on PropFirmReviews.net.